Methodology

A reference, not a forecast.

The European IT Hardware Price Index is designed as a transparent, reproducible benchmark — neither a market forecast nor an investment instrument. It exists to give procurement officers, suppliers and policymakers a common factual basis when negotiating contracts in volatile markets.

§ 01 — Principles

Four design commitments

01
Independent reference

Published by a neutral European body (Eurostat in cooperation with DG CONNECT) and freely accessible to all market participants.

02
Disaggregated by class

Separate series for DDR4 and DDR5 RAM, HDD / SSD / NVMe storage, server CPUs, and GPUs / AI accelerators — not a single composite.

03
Spot-market based

Monthly arithmetic mean of EU retail and B2B distributor prices, ex VAT, weighted by procurement volume from a representative panel.

04
Base period 100

All series normalised to 100 = January 2023, allowing direct year-on-year comparison across categories.

§ 02 — Data sources

Where the numbers come from

  • Distributor panel
    Aggregated B2B price feeds from EU IT distributors covering 12 member states.
  • Spot market trackers
    Public TrendForce and DRAMeXchange monthly contract spot prices.
  • Retail aggregators
    Geizhals, PCPartPicker EU and Idealo for retail-level reference points.
  • Hyperscaler tenders
    Anonymised disclosures from large EU public-sector framework awards.
§ 03 — Update cadence

Monthly cycle

  1. T-30 days
    Data collection from distributor panel and public spot feeds.
  2. T-7 days
    Validation, outlier removal, currency normalisation to EUR.
  3. T-0
    Index publication on the first business day of the month.
  4. T+5 days
    Annexed dataset and methodology notes released for public review.
§ 04 — Contractual application

From benchmark to contract clause

The index is intended to be referenced directly within procurement frameworks. Two worked examples follow.

Example A · Threshold trigger

"Where the EU-IT-HPI for the relevant component class moves by more than +20% between the bid date and the delivery date, the supplier may submit a price-revision request limited to the measured index movement."

Example B · Symmetric pass-through

"Final invoice unit prices shall be adjusted by the percentage change of the EU-IT-HPI sub-index for the relevant component category, applied symmetrically for both increases and decreases above a ±10% materiality threshold."

Notice

A reference dataset

The figures published on this site are a curated reference dataset prepared to illustrate the proposed index. They are based on public spot-market aggregates and are intended for policy discussion, not for binding commercial use. A formally governed European publication would require validation by the relevant EU body.